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{"sheet":"ganancia","index":1,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[{"$f":"C1/500","v":2E-3},-33576.5,1]
[{"$f":"C2/500","v":4.0000000000000001E-3},-33475.75,2]
[6.0000000000000001E-3,-31821.25,3]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,-15957.199999999997,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"La ganancia media es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":26275.700000000012},"dólares"]
[0.05,-14367.009999999995,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":26275.700000000012},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":-14367.009999999995},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,-14019.86,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":-14367.009999999995},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":70271.31},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,-13947.349999999991,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":70271.31},null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$N$5","v":100000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$27,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":1.0000000000000009E-2}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,-13672.5,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$N$5/2","v":50000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$28,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.18000000000000005}]
[5.8000000000000003E-2,-12953.699999999997,29,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de terminar el año en pérdidas es del ",null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(0,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.158}]
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{"sheet":"drawdown","index":2,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,7214.9800000000105,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"El drawdown medio es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":13594.200000000012},"dólares"]
[0.05,7225,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":13594.200000000012},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":7225},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,7370,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":7225},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":29969.75},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,7397.5,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":29969.75},null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 30.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(30000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":4.8000000000000043E-2}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,7409.3500000000058,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 40.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(40000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":1}]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,75456.3,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"En promedio el capital caerá como mucho hasta los",null,null,null,{"$f":"F25","v":95350},"dólares"]
[0.05,75649.710000000006,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":95350},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el capital no caerá por debajo de los",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":75649.710000000006},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,75788.75,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":75649.710000000006},null,"La probabilidad de que el capital caiga por debajo del valor inicial es ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(datos!$N$5-1,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.83799999999999997}]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,76058.75,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":100000},null,"La probabilidad de que el capital caiga 20.000 es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(datos!$N$5-19999,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":9.1999999999999998E-2}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,76225.95,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de que el capital caiga 40.000 es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(datos!$N$5-39999,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":{"$error":"#N/A"}}]
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{"sheet":"perdidas","index":4,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[{"$f":"C1/500","v":2E-3},2,1]
[{"$f":"C2/500","v":4.0000000000000001E-3},2,2]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,4,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"En promedio al año habrá",null,{"$f":"F25","v":6},"pérdidas consecutivas"]
[0.05,4,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":6},null,"Con un 95% de confianza no habrá más de ",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":10},"perdidas seguidas"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,4,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":4},null,"Con un 95% de confianza al menos habrá",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":4},"perdidas seguidas"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,4,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":10},null,"La probabilidad de tener 10 pérdidas seguidas o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(9.9,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":5.8000000000000052E-2}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,4,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de tener 5 pérdidas seguidas o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(4.9,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.76800000000000002}]
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{"sheet":"Instrucciones","index":6,"n_rows":9,"n_cols":2,"rows_kept":9,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
[]
[null,"Esta hoja hace una simulación de Montecarlo a partir de las operaciones de la columna A, hoja \"datos\"."]
[null,"La simulación es para un año de trading."]
[null,"Hay que rellenar en la pestaña \"datos\" lo que tenga fondo azul."]
[null,"El siguiente vídeo en YouTube explica su funcionamiento:"]
[]
[null,"https://youtu.be/REPdDf7_84c"]