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{"sheet":"ganancia","index":1,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[{"$f":"C1/500","v":2E-3},-16596.72,1]
[{"$f":"C2/500","v":4.0000000000000001E-3},-15036.25,2]
[6.0000000000000001E-3,-13806.199999999997,3]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,-11708.599999999991,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"La ganancia media es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":24015},"dólares"]
[0.05,-11692.5,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":24015},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":-11692.5},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,-11691.849999999991,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":-11692.5},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":76193.610000000015},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,-11666.050000000003,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":76193.610000000015},null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$S$5","v":100000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$27,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":4.0000000000000036E-3}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,-11653.75,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$S$5/2","v":50000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$28,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.18600000000000005}]
[5.8000000000000003E-2,-11576.300000000003,29,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de terminar el año en pérdidas es del ",null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(0,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.27400000000000002}]
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{"sheet":"ganancia2","index":2,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
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[{"$f":"C2/500","v":4.0000000000000001E-3},-12849.299999999988,2]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,-10614.009999999995,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"La ganancia media es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":14886.419999999998},"dólares"]
[0.05,-10605,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":14886.419999999998},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":-10605},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,-10593.800000000003,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":-10605},null,"Con un 95% de confianza la ganancia será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":61254.75},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,-10564.239999999991,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":61254.75},null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$S$5","v":100000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$27,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":2.0000000000000018E-3}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,-10561.225000000006,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de ganar ",null,{"$f":"datos!$S$5/2","v":50000},"es del ",{"$f":"1-OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP($J$28,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":9.7999999999999976E-2}]
[5.8000000000000003E-2,-10519.399999999994,29,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de terminar el año en pérdidas es del ",null,null,null,{"$f":"OFFSET($A$1,VLOOKUP(0,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0.222}]
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{"sheet":"drawdown","index":3,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[{"$f":"C1/500","v":2E-3},4400,1]
[{"$f":"C2/500","v":4.0000000000000001E-3},5280,2]
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,7215,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"El drawdown medio es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":12074.899999999994},"dólares"]
[0.05,7237.5,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":12074.899999999994},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":7237.5},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,7242.5,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":7237.5},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":23142.899999999994},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,7351.3000000000029,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":23142.899999999994},null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 30.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(30000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":0}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,7362.5,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 40.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(40000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":1}]
[5.8000000000000003E-2,7456.6200000000099,29]
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[7.0000000000000007E-2,7614,35]
[7.1999999999999995E-2,7643,36]
[7.3999999999999996E-2,7712.5,37]
[7.5999999999999998E-2,7740,38]
[7.8E-2,7815,39]
[0.08,7885,40]
[8.2000000000000003E-2,7900,41]
[8.4000000000000005E-2,7900,42]
[8.5999999999999993E-2,7972.5,43]
[8.7999999999999995E-2,8031.1999999999971,44]
[0.09,8056.2000000000116,45]
[9.1999999999999998E-2,8056.5,46]
[9.4E-2,8074.8999999999942,47]
[9.6000000000000002E-2,8110,48]
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[0.1,8170,50]
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[0.112,8325,56]
[0.114,8366.3000000000029,57]
[0.11600000000000001,8395,58]
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[0.122,8415,61]
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[0.126,8440,63]
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[{"$f":"C66/500","v":0.13200000000000001},8511.3000000000029,66]
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[0.25,9910.679999999993,125]
[0.252,9945,126]
[0.254,9965,127]
[0.25600000000000001,10022.5,128]
[0.25800000000000001,10025,129]
[{"$f":"C130/500","v":0.26},10032.5,130]
[0.26200000000000001,10049.5,131]
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[0.26600000000000001,10092.5,133]
[0.26800000000000002,10092.779999999999,134]
[0.27,10127.5,135]
[0.27200000000000002,10139.820000000007,136]
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[0.27600000000000002,10170.200000000012,138]
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[0.28999999999999998,10241.5,145]
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[0.29399999999999998,10260,147]
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[{"$f":"C194/500","v":0.38800000000000001},11155,194]
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[{"$f":"C258/500","v":0.51600000000000001},12199.25,258]
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{"sheet":"drawdown2","index":4,"n_rows":500,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":500,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
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[4.8000000000000001E-2,7698.1499999999942,24,null,"Percentil","Valor",null,"El drawdown medio es de ",null,{"$f":"F25","v":15119.48000000001},"dólares"]
[0.05,7698.75,25,null,0.5,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E25,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":15119.48000000001},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será mayor de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F26","v":7698.75},"dólares"]
[5.1999999999999998E-2,7807,26,null,0.05,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E26,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":7698.75},null,"Con un 95% de confianza el drawdown será menos de",null,null,null,{"$f":"F27","v":30891.749999999985},"dólares"]
[5.3999999999999999E-2,7816.5,27,null,0.95,{"$f":"VLOOKUP(E27,$A$1:$B$500,2,TRUE)","v":30891.749999999985},null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 30.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(30000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":5.2000000000000046E-2}]
[5.6000000000000001E-2,7906.1900000000023,28,null,null,null,null,"La probabilidad de un drawdown de 40.000 dólares o más es del ",null,null,null,null,{"$f":"1-OFFSET(A1,VLOOKUP(40000,$B$1:$C$500,2,TRUE),0)","v":2.200000000000002E-2}]
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{"sheet":"resultados","index":7,"n_rows":11,"n_cols":13,"rows_kept":11,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
["DD1","DD2","Ruina","Net (SIN)","Net (filtrada)","DD (SIN)","DD (filtrado)","POR (SIN)","POR (filtrada)"]
[{"$f":"datos!S10","v":3000},{"$f":"datos!S11","v":6000},{"$f":"datos!S7","v":90000},{"$f":"ganancia!J24","v":24015},{"$f":"ganancia2!J24","v":14886.419999999998},{"$f":"drawdown!J24","v":12074.899999999994},{"$f":"drawdown2!J24","v":15119.48000000001},{"$f":"ruina!K25","v":0.24399999999999999},{"$f":"ruina2!K25","v":0.128}]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"comentarios"]
[null,null,null,"DD1","DD2","Ruina","Net (SIN)","Net (filtr)","DD (SIN)","DD (filtr)","PoR (SIN)","PoR (filtr)"]
[null,null,null,2000,4000,90000,25692.850000000035,14466.044999999998,12438.700000000012,16688.5,0.23799999999999999,0.122,"Intervenir demasiado cerca reduce a la mitad la ganancia"]
[null,null,null,10000,20000,70000,27614.320000000007,24403.540000000008,13357.5,13737.600000000006,1.6E-2,0]
[null,null,null,20000,25000,70000,27682.299999999988,27245.700000000012,13587.5,13587.5,0.01,4.0000000000000001E-3,"No cambian Gan ni DD. Baja la Prob de Ruina"]

{"sheet":"graficos","index":8,"n_rows":23,"n_cols":10,"rows_kept":23,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"La reducción de riesgo funciona y detiene el DD",null,null,null,null,null,null,null,"En este caso era mejor no haber actuado sobre el sistema"]

{"sheet":"Instrucciones","index":9,"n_rows":10,"n_cols":2,"rows_kept":10,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
[null,"Esta hoja hace una simulación de Montecarlo a partir de las operaciones de la columna A, hoja \"datos\"."]
[null,"Implementa una estrategia de reducir el tamaño de la operación al 50% a partir de un determinado drawdown DD1"]
[null,"Si el drawdown aumenta y llega al nivel DD2 se detiene la operativa durante 3 operaciones. Luego se reanuda."]
[null,"La simulación es para un año de trading."]
[null,"Hay que rellenar en la pestaña \"datos\" lo que tenga fondo azul."]
[null,"El siguiente vídeo en YouTube explica su funcionamiento:"]
[]
[null,"https://youtu.be/JRANqeNl1fo"]